Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 10.957393 12.278024 13.732762 15.460698 17.465641 19.728850 22.491153
2025-10-26 9.348795 11.120099 13.222756 15.927652 19.350999 23.588185 29.306440
2025-11-02 8.142335 10.067922 12.468907 15.728317 20.109344 25.900000 34.315540
2025-11-09 7.250144 9.239788 11.818460 15.473302 20.633458 27.838524 38.995922
2025-11-16 6.590412 8.615306 11.327123 15.315975 21.195341 29.816079 43.961417
2025-11-23 5.983503 7.988868 10.749148 14.938888 21.346877 31.152616 48.094240
2025-11-30 5.560567 7.571187 10.410435 14.849857 21.884132 33.104024 53.504567
2025-12-07 5.061349 6.999148 9.791789 14.263625 21.555665 33.590513 56.428828
2025-12-14 4.592748 6.434674 9.135228 13.548419 20.925032 33.466858 58.184272
2025-12-21 4.283591 6.083496 8.770204 13.255527 20.951817 34.460705 62.200894
2025-12-28 4.373564 6.338742 9.352426 14.549609 23.834249 40.961612 78.508733
2026-01-04 4.240378 6.236843 9.359312 14.874305 25.027221 44.474259 89.316667
2026-01-11 3.956587 5.887157 8.953791 14.474096 24.884986 45.445245 94.876915
2026-01-18 3.851624 5.817619 9.004279 14.885576 26.337837 49.902371 109.885897
2026-01-25 3.649342 5.574606 8.743210 14.703273 26.597757 51.866828 119.168259
2026-02-01 3.456202 5.334242 8.468639 14.468550 26.719592 53.540134 128.132332
2026-02-08 3.294088 5.135922 8.252680 14.323745 27.007804 55.635367 138.881765
2026-02-15 3.113481 4.895587 7.946324 13.976545 26.822566 56.581360 146.532435
2026-02-22 2.986549 4.740544 7.782227 13.894547 27.205501 58.975098 159.421054
2026-03-01 2.802809 4.476856 7.404982 13.354377 26.504084 58.531054 162.974164
2026-03-08 2.614787 4.197127 6.983633 12.694792 25.467237 57.082287 162.786740
2026-03-15 2.492410 4.028343 6.758917 12.424489 25.307610 57.939677 171.037506
2026-03-22 2.568324 4.217864 7.215916 13.617943 28.760903 69.297719 222.750522